§6. Predictive models
This section directs the Secretary of Agriculture to develop and maintain a modeling tool (or tools) that predicts the impacts of land management practices, including conservation activities, on atmospheric carbon, methane, nitrous oxide emissions, and soil carbon sequestration across the United States. The tool must be anchored in direct land measurements (e.g., soil sampling under existing programs); account for variables such as soil type, land use, crops, geography, weather patterns, operation size, and ongoing conservation; enable users to estimate changes and uncertainty from implementing conservation activities; and be user-friendly and accessible to producers and researchers in multiple languages.
The Secretary must consult specified entities (e.g., Secretary of Energy, EPA Administrator, socially disadvantaged farmers and ranchers, soil carbon experts, nonprofits, academics, private companies, and other stakeholders reflecting U.S. agricultural diversity) and may partner with land-grant institutions, universities, or federal research centers. The tool requires annual reviews with updates implemented within one year if needed based on best available data and science.
Not later than two years after enactment and annually thereafter, the Secretary must report to Congress on tool development progress, accuracy in assessing permanence and additionality of emissions reductions or sequestration, models and data used, update determinations, and related efficacy information. The section authorizes $500,000 for each fiscal year to carry out these requirements.